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煤與瓦斯突出多指標耦合預測模型研究及應用

張友誼 崔金雷 焦向東

張友誼, 崔金雷, 焦向東. 煤與瓦斯突出多指標耦合預測模型研究及應用[J]. 工程科學學報, 2018, 40(11): 1309-1316. doi: 10.13374/j.issn2095-9389.2018.11.004
引用本文: 張友誼, 崔金雷, 焦向東. 煤與瓦斯突出多指標耦合預測模型研究及應用[J]. 工程科學學報, 2018, 40(11): 1309-1316. doi: 10.13374/j.issn2095-9389.2018.11.004
ZHANG You-yi, CUI Jin-lei, JIAO Xiang-dong. Study of the multi-index coupling forecasting model of coal and gas outburst and its application[J]. Chinese Journal of Engineering, 2018, 40(11): 1309-1316. doi: 10.13374/j.issn2095-9389.2018.11.004
Citation: ZHANG You-yi, CUI Jin-lei, JIAO Xiang-dong. Study of the multi-index coupling forecasting model of coal and gas outburst and its application[J]. Chinese Journal of Engineering, 2018, 40(11): 1309-1316. doi: 10.13374/j.issn2095-9389.2018.11.004

煤與瓦斯突出多指標耦合預測模型研究及應用

doi: 10.13374/j.issn2095-9389.2018.11.004
基金項目: 

國家自然科學基金重點資助項目(41430640)

國家自然科學基金資助項目(41172144)

詳細信息
  • 中圖分類號: TG142.71

Study of the multi-index coupling forecasting model of coal and gas outburst and its application

  • 摘要: 針對煤與瓦斯突出預測準確率問題,在分析煤與瓦斯突出瓦斯地質因素的基礎上,構建了包含瓦斯指標、煤體指標、地應力指標3個一級指標和瓦斯壓力、構造煤厚度等12個二級指標的預測指標體系,通過綜合運用網絡分析法和多類別距離判別法對灰色關聯模型中的輸入端和輸出端進行研究,建立了煤與瓦斯突出多指標耦合預測模型.該模型基于對煤與瓦斯突出瓦斯地質因素的綜合分析,計算預測指標權重,劃分煤與瓦斯突出可能性等級,建立了對突出可能性進行判別的2個判別式.以平煤八礦為例應用該模型對8組預測樣本進行了煤與瓦斯突出可能性判斷,預測結果與實際符合,為礦井煤與瓦斯突出防治提供了技術支撐,證明了煤與瓦斯突出多指標耦合預測模型的準確性和適用性.

     

  • [5] Wang C, Wang E Y, Xu J K, et al. Bayesian discriminant analysis for prediction of coal and gas outbursts and application. Min Sci Technol, 2010, 20(4):520
    [16] Morteza Z, Reza F M, Seddiq M M, et al. Selection of the optimal tourism site using the ANP and fuzzy TOPSIS in the framework of integrated coastal zone management:a case of qeshm island. Ocean Coastal Manage, 2016, 130:179
    [17] Wang Y, Zhang C, Jiang G P. Priority-sequence of mineral resources'development and utilization based on grey relational analysis method. Int J Min Sci Technol, 2016, 26(3):395
    [22] Xu L H, Jiang C L. Initial desorption characterization of methane and carbon dioxide in coal and its influence on coal and gas outburst risk. Fuel, 2017, 203:700
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  • 被引次數: 0
出版歷程
  • 收稿日期:  2018-05-28

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