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基于云理論的油氣管道滑坡危險性綜合評價

張滿銀 王生新 孫志忠 徐震 王滬生

張滿銀, 王生新, 孫志忠, 徐震, 王滬生. 基于云理論的油氣管道滑坡危險性綜合評價[J]. 工程科學學報, 2018, 40(4): 427-437. doi: 10.13374/j.issn2095-9389.2018.04.005
引用本文: 張滿銀, 王生新, 孫志忠, 徐震, 王滬生. 基于云理論的油氣管道滑坡危險性綜合評價[J]. 工程科學學報, 2018, 40(4): 427-437. doi: 10.13374/j.issn2095-9389.2018.04.005
ZHANG Man-yin, WANG Sheng-xin, SUN Zhi-zhong, XU Zhen, WANG Hu-sheng. Comprehensive evaluation of landslide risks of oil and gas pipelines based on cloud theory[J]. Chinese Journal of Engineering, 2018, 40(4): 427-437. doi: 10.13374/j.issn2095-9389.2018.04.005
Citation: ZHANG Man-yin, WANG Sheng-xin, SUN Zhi-zhong, XU Zhen, WANG Hu-sheng. Comprehensive evaluation of landslide risks of oil and gas pipelines based on cloud theory[J]. Chinese Journal of Engineering, 2018, 40(4): 427-437. doi: 10.13374/j.issn2095-9389.2018.04.005

基于云理論的油氣管道滑坡危險性綜合評價

doi: 10.13374/j.issn2095-9389.2018.04.005
基金項目: 

中石油管道聯合有限公司西部分公司科技開發項目(XG11-2015-001)

甘肅省科學院青年科技創新基金資助項目(2014 QN-10)

甘肅省科學院軟科學專項項目(2016KP-01)

國家自然科學基金資助項目(51469001)

詳細信息
  • 中圖分類號: TE832;X937

Comprehensive evaluation of landslide risks of oil and gas pipelines based on cloud theory

  • 摘要: 管道滑坡危險性評價是長輸油氣管道沿線滑坡災害預防和治理中規劃決策的重要依據.該評價組織由定量和定性兩類指標構成,評價系統具有隨機性和模糊性的特點.針對常用的定性和半定量評價法在處理系統的隨機性和模糊性上存在顧此失彼和人為主觀性強的問題,引入能同時有效反映事物隨機性和模糊性的云理論,運用黃金分割率法構建5級標度的管道滑坡危險性狀態標尺云和指標重要性權重云,提出定量指標的不確定性推理過程和定性指標專家群語言云轉化的浮動云偏好集結算法,構建了油氣管道滑坡危險性的綜合評價模型并進行了工程例證分析.4處待評樣本的綜合評價結果與半定量法結果基本一致,并與實際相符.該模型軟化了指標邊界的硬劃分,簡化了指標數據的預處理;實現了評價的定量與定性融合和集成決策;提高了結果的精確性、合理性和可視化.

     

  • [6] Ruocco E, Laoro R D, Minutolo V. An exponential matrix method for the buckling analysis of underground pipelines subjected to landslides loads. Proced Earth Planet Sci, 2016, 16:25
    [7] Han B, Wang Z Y, Zhao H L, et al. Strain-based design for buried pipelines subjected to landslides. Pet Sci, 2012, 9(2):236
    [15] Alvarado-Franco J P, Castro D, Estrada N, et al. Quantitativemechanistic model for assessing landslide probability and pipeline failure probability due to landslides. Eng Geol, 2017, 222:212
    [20] Sarvanis G C, Karamanos S A. Analytical model for the strain analysis of continuous buried pipelines in geohazard areas. Eng Struct, 2017, 152:57
    [24] Gao H B, Xie G T, Liu H Z, et al. Lateral control of autonomous vehicles based on learning driver behavior via cloud model. J China Univ Posts Telecommun, 2017, 24(2):10
    [25] Yan F, Xu K L, Cui Z K, et al. An improved layer of protection analysis based on a cloud model:methodology and case study. J Loss Prev Process Ind, 2017, 48:41
    [28] Li W S, Wang Y, Du J, et al. Synergistic integration of graphcut and cloud model strategies for image segmentation. Neurocomputing, 2017, 257:37
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  • HTML全文瀏覽量:  328
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  • 被引次數: 0
出版歷程
  • 收稿日期:  2017-10-31

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