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基于改進GWO–SVR算法的鋰電池剩余壽命預測

Remaining useful life prediction for lithium-ion batteries based on an improved GWO–SVR algorithm

  • 摘要: 鋰離子電池性能優越,已在B787等機型上得到應用. 鋰離子電池性能隨著使用次數增加而衰退,準確預測鋰電池剩余使用壽命從而及時維護/更換,對航班安全飛行具有重要意義. 面向鋰離子電池剩余壽命預測問題,本文采用容量增量分析等方法提取特征,基于灰色關聯分析計算特征與電池容量的關聯程度并篩選特征,提出一種基于改進灰狼優化算法(Improved grey wolf optimization, IGWO)和支持向量回歸(Support vector regression, SVR)的鋰離子電池剩余壽命預測方法. 作為近年研究熱點的灰狼優化(Grey wolf optimization, GWO)算法尋優性能出色,但是在應用中容易陷入局部最優. 針對此問題,IGWO對GWO算法中的位置更新方程進行優化,對狼群中的個體添加了記憶與飛行功能,增強了算法全局搜索和收斂能力;同時基于Skew Tent映射產生混沌序列,優化狼群初始位置分布. 基于標準測試函數對比GWO和IGWO算法的尋優能力,結果表明IGWO算法的收斂速度和尋優效果更好,能夠避開GWO陷入的局部最優,在部分測試函數上將尋優精度提升了幾十個數量級;基于NASA鋰離子電池數據集開展IGWO–SVR、GWO–SVR和SVR 的剩余壽命預測能力對比實驗,結果證明IGWO–SVR能夠有效提高預測精度,與GWO–SVR相比預測均方根誤差值降低了10%以上.

     

    Abstract: Lithium-ion batteries have been applied in civil aircraft such as the B787 with excellent performance. As the service time of lithium-ion batteries increases, their performance continues to decline. Therefore, accurately predicting the remaining useful life of lithium-ion batteries is helpful for timely maintenance or replacement, which is important for flight safety. This study extracts features from charge and discharge data of lithium-ion batteries with incremental capacity analysis to predict the remaining useful life of lithium-ion batteries. To this end, this study calculates the degree of correlation between the features and battery capacity based on grey correlation analysis, and then accordingly filters the features. Finally, a prediction method for the remaining useful life of lithium-ion batteries is proposed based on improved grey wolf optimization (IGWO) and support vector regression (SVR). The IGWO algorithm is proposed to solve the issue wherein grey wolf optimization (GWO) is prone to stagnation at local optima. As a research hotspot in the field of optimization algorithms in recent years, GWO has excellent optimization performance. However, it faces the problem of falling into local optimization and premature convergence in practical applications. To solve this problem, this study proposes IGWO to optimize and rewrite the position update equation and add memory and flight functions to each individual in the wolf pack so as to enhance the global search ability of the algorithm and improve its convergence speed. Furthermore, IGWO uses skew tent mapping to generate chaotic sequences to optimize the initial distribution of the grey wolf pack in the optimization space. Thus, it achieves a more uniform initial distribution effect than the traditional random generation method. This paper conducts an optimization comparison experiment based on commonly used benchmark functions to compare the optimization ability of GWO before and after improvement. The results show that the IGWO algorithm effectively avoids the stagnation at a local optimal value that the GWO algorithm will fall into, with faster convergence speed and better optimization than GWO for almost all functions. In several of these test functions, the optimization accuracy of IGWO is dozens of times higher than that of GWO. The remaining useful life prediction abilities of IGWO-SVR, GWO-SVR, and SVR are compared based on the NASA lithium-ion battery dataset. The results show that the model trained with IGWO-SVR achieves higher prediction accuracy on the data among all four batteries, and the root mean square error of the prediction results is reduced by more than 10% compared with GWO-SVR.

     

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