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基于模糊綜合評判的移動電源火災風險分析

Fire risk analysis of the mobile power pack based on the fuzzy synthetic evaluation model

  • 摘要: 針對移動電源火災事故頻發的安全現狀,本文采用能量轉換和模糊綜合評判的方法構建移動電源火災風險評價模型,并對移動電源火災風險進行評價.為增加評判過程的客觀性,分別采用事故樹基本事件結構重要度和相對差異函數對評判模型中評價因子的權重和隸屬度進行分析和計算.評判結果表明移動電源火災事故風險等級處于一般安全與比較危險之間,與實際情況相符合.

     

    Abstract: Due to the present situation of frequent fire accidents caused by the mobile power pack,fire risk based on the energy transfer theory and the fuzzy synthetic evaluation model was analyzed in the paper. Furthermore,fault tree analysis and the relative difference function are combined with the model to determine the weight values and memberships of evaluation factors. The evaluation results show that the risk level of fire accidents caused by the mobile power pack is between the safe and the more dangerous,which is agreed with the practical situation.

     

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