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基于OS-ELM的CCPP副產煤氣燃料系統在線性能預測

Online performance prediction of CCPP byproduct coal-gas system based on online sequential extreme learning machine

  • 摘要: 針對聯合循環發電廠(combined cycle power plant,CCPP)煤氣系統因工況變化頻繁帶來的模型與過程不匹配的問題,提出一種基于OS-ELM (online sequential extreme learning machine)的CCPP副產煤氣燃料系統在線性能預測方法.首先通過分析副產煤氣系統各主要組成部件的工作原理,利用流體力學、質量守恒以及能量守恒等關系,建立起以離心壓縮機、煤水分離器、冷卻器等為核心部件的副產煤氣系統機理模型.利用OS-ELM算法和滑動窗口技術對機理模型的輸出誤差進行修正,實現副產煤氣系統出口參數的精確預測和模型的快速在線更新.仿真實驗證明,該方法能夠準確地預測副產煤氣系統的輸出壓比和溫比,并能夠跟蹤煤氣系統工況的變化和特性的漂移,滿足實際工業生產的需求.

     

    Abstract: Aiming at the problem of mismatch between the model and the process for a byproduct coal-gas system in a combined cycle power plant(CCPP) due to frequent changes in working conditions,this article introduces a method for online performance prediction of the CCPP byproduct coal-gas system based on an online sequential extreme learning machine(OS-ELM).Firstly,by analyzing the working principle of each main component in the byproduct coal-gas system and using the fluid mechanics,energy conservation and mass conservation principles,a mechanistic model is established for performance prediction of the byproduct coal-gas system,which essentially consists of scrubbers,centrifugal compressors,and coolers.Further,the OS-ELM and the sliding window technique are also used to correct the error of the mechanistic model,thus we realize the accurate prediction of export parameters and the update of the model in time.Simulation results show that this method can accurately predict the pressure ratio and temperature ratio of the byproduct coal-gas system and track the change in coal-gas system working conditions and the characteristics drift,which meet the needs of actual industrial production.

     

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