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基于黏滑失穩與突變理論的煤與瓦斯突出預警模型

Early-warning model of coal and gas outburst based on the stick-slip and catastrophe theory

  • 摘要: 在礦井瓦斯地質研究基礎上,根據煤與瓦斯突出黏滑機理和突變理論,建立了煤與瓦斯突出黏滑失穩-突變理論預警模型.以瓦斯因素和地質因素為煤與瓦斯突出預警的控制變量,將其歸類分化為相應的預警指標,提出了突出危險等級劃分指標的界限,利用模糊數學推導出突變模糊隸屬度函數,選擇對應突變模型計算出突出警情的突變級數.以潞安環能股份有限公司余吾煤業為例對煤與瓦斯突出黏滑失穩-突變預警模型的可行性進行了驗證.

     

    Abstract: According to gas-geological research, an early-warning model of coal and gas outburst was built based on the stick-slip and catastrophe theory. In the model, gas factors and geological factors were considered as control variables of coal and gas outburst early-warning and were classified to the corresponding early warning indexes, then the coal and gas outburst grades of danger were determined and their warning index limits were divided.Fuzzy mathematics was used to deduce the mutation fuzzy membership function, and the catastrophe series, which can reflect the outburst, was worked out by means of choosing the corresponding mutation model. An example of Yuwu Coal Mine of Lu'an Environmental Energy Development Co., Ltd. verified the feasibility of this early-warning model.

     

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