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唐山礦瓦斯涌出量動態預測模型

Dynamic prediction model of gas emission in Tangshang Mine

  • 摘要: 為了提高瓦斯涌出預測的準確性,采用BP型神經網絡,利用BP型神經網絡自學習、自組織和自適應等特性,在MATLAB環境下構建瓦斯動態預測模型.通過對唐山礦瓦斯信號實時監測數據的分析,對瓦斯動態預測模型進行訓練和測試.結果表明,該模型的預測速度快、精度高,可以實現對工作面瓦斯涌出的動態預測,并能綜合判斷工作面所處地點的安全狀況以及前方的潛在的危險性.

     

    Abstract: To improve the prediction accuracy of gas emission, a BP neural network was applied to establish a dynamic prediction model of gas emission under the MATLAB environment by using BP neural networks' characteristics of self-learning, self-organizing and self-adapting. The model was trained and tested by analyzing the real-time monitoring data of gas signals from Tangshan Mine. Test results show that the model has higher prediction speed and accuracy. By using the model the dynamic prediction of gas emission in the working face can be realized, the safety state and the potential hazard can be synthetically estimated to provide security for safety production.

     

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